A Strategic Agricultural Production Model with Risk and Return Considerations
نویسندگان
چکیده
Decision support systems are generally geared to short-term tactical decision makkrg. As an alternative, this paper develops a mathematical progrming model to evaluate long-term strategic alternatives in the context of farm-level agricultural production where a broiler farm considers long-term implications of diversification into commercial aquiculture. The model considers a ten-year strategic planning horizon, incorporates financial risk and return considerations, and accommodates capacity variations. Results indicate that a diversification strategy significantly increases farm profitability over a strategic planning horizon while simultaneously maintaining financial risk below a predetermined tolerance level and return on investment above a predetermined level
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